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be365体育平台、所2023年系列学术活动(第123场):王玮明 教授 淮阴师范学院

发表于: 2023-11-02   点击: 

报告题目: The Influence of Ambient Air Pollution on the Transmission of Tuberculosis in Jiangsu Province, China

报告人: 王玮明 教授 淮阴师范学院

报告时间:2023年11月4日 星期六 下午4:00-5:00

报告地点:数学楼第二报告厅

校内联系人:刘素莉 liusuli@jlu.edu.cn


报告摘要:In this paper, based on the statistical data, we investigate the effects of long-term exposure to ambient particulate air pollution on the transmission dynamics of tuberculosis (TB) in Jiangsu, China by studying the threshold dynamics of the TB epidemic model via the statistical data analytically and numerically. The basic reproduction number R_0>1 reveals that TB in Jiangsu, China is an endemic disease and will persist for a long time. And the numerical results show that, in order to control the TB in Jiangsu effectively, we must decrease the depuration coefficient of PM_{10} in the body, the proportion of TB symptomatic infectious by direct transmission, the reactivation rate of the pre-symptomatic infectious and the effect coefficient of PM_10 and MTB inhaled of TB transmission, and increase the uptake coefficient, the recovery rate of the symptomatic/pre-symptomatic infectious and the influence coefficient of PM_10 on the body of mortality. Our study shows that PM_10 is closely related to the incidence of TB, and the effective control efforts are suggested to focus on increasing close-contact distance and wearing protective mask to decrease the influence of PM_10 on the TB transmission, which may shed a new light on understanding the environmental drivers to TB.


报告人简介:王玮明博士,淮阴师范学院“翔宇学者”、数学与统计学院教授,陕西师范大学兼职博导;中国数学会生物数学专委会常务理事、副秘书长;中国工业与应用数学会数学与生命科学专委会理事。江苏省十四五“数学”重点学科带头人;江苏省高校科技创新团队“传染病防控的建模分析及预警系统”带头人;淮安市传染病防控及预警重点实验室主任。曾入选浙江省“新世纪151人才工程”第二层次,担任浙江省十二五“应用数学”重点学科带头人。近十年来专注于传染病防控的建模分析及预警研究,得到了国家自然科学基金的连续资助,已主持完成面上项目2项,目前主持在研1项。在科学出版社出版专著2部。近五年来,获中国产学研合作与创新成果奖优秀奖、海南省自然科学奖二等奖和新疆自治区科技进步奖二等奖各1项。入选爱思唯尔2020、2021、2022 “中国高被引学者”以及科睿唯安2021、2022 “全球高被引科学家”等榜单。